Getty Images/Ringer illustration

Welcome to The Ringer’s NBA Odds Machine for the 2020-21 postseason. Based on team strength as measured by point differential—a historically strong predictor of future success—with adjustments for individual wrinkles like injuries and schedules, the Odds Machine includes four features: a breakdown of each day’s games, an analysis of those games’ importance, a look at each team’s likelihood of advancing through the various playoff rounds, and an examination of each series, game by game. The Odds Machine will update every day until a champion is crowned, so be sure to check back throughout the coming months as the league’s best teams battle for a title.

Getty Images/Ringer illustration

The chart below shows each team’s likelihood of advancing through each playoff round and, ultimately, winning the 2020-21 title. We’re simulating the rest of the postseason every day, so check back daily for the latest projections.

Playoff Odds

Bucks100%100%100%100%
Suns100%100%100%0%
Hawks100%100%0%0%
Clippers100%100%0%0%
Nets100%0%0%0%
Nuggets100%0%0%0%
76ers100%0%0%0%
Jazz100%0%0%0%
Heat0%0%0%0%
Lakers0%0%0%0%
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Getty Images/Ringer illustration

How likely is your favorite team to win in a sweep? What about losing in five, or winning in six, or going all the way to a nail-biter Game 7? These charts show the chances for each possible outcome in every series.

Suns vs. Bucks

Suns in 4n/a
Suns in 5n/a
Suns in 6n/a
Suns in 7n/a
Bucks in 4n/a
Bucks in 5n/a
Bucks in 6100%
Bucks in 7n/a
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Zach Kram
Zach writes about basketball, baseball, and assorted pop culture topics.

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